They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. The crew looks at the issues that have shaped the Virginia and New Jersey gubernatorial races and rounds up some of the other local races and ballot measures around the country. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". Nate Silver and Galen Druke open the mailbag and answer listener questions, including how much it would cost to "fix polling" and why Vice President Harris is polling less favorably than President Biden. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. They also discuss why gas stoves became such a hot topic of debate on the internet and what the 2024 primary for U.S. Senate in California will look like. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! Local news is disappearing across the country. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast Feb. 21, 2023 Politics Podcast: Some Republicans Are Souring On Aid To Ukraine Feb. 16, 2023 Nikki Haley Has Tough Competition In Trump And DeSantis By Galen. (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums . How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? security jobs paying $30 an hour; fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts These articles reported facts without employing biased word choice, slant, or other types of media bias . The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. In early January of 2020, then-President Trump encouraged Raffensperger to help overturn the election results in Georgia. 0:00:00 Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. You can't imitate a worldview. Thee also tracks the latest voting restrictions being considered by Georgia Republicans, including a proposal to end early voting on Sundays, which is when Black churches traditionally mobilize voters through "souls to the polls" events. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". No place like 'Nam. Whereas Tester . Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. Find us at ThisDayPod.com. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. The crew discusses why the number of independents has been growing and what it means for American politics. Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? By our estimates, the Democrat is on track to win by 45 points, compared to 30 points in '22 and 36 points in '20. twitter. March 1, 2023 6:30am by Barry Ritholtz. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Millions of people were without power or heat, and in some cases water, in freezing cold temperatures for days because of severe blackouts. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Rev also gives transcribers the autonomy to work for as much or little as they want. Make sure you select the language your Podcast episode is recorded in when uploading your audio. They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. Mona Chalabi of FiveThirtyEight.com joins NPR's Rachel Martin for a look at who those people are. Former FDA commissioner Scott Gottlieb joins the podcast to discuss Americas unpreparedness for COVID-19 and how the country should prepare for the next pandemic. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. The book is the first big reported account of the 2020 campaign in its entirety and is written by Jonathan Allen, senior political analyst with NBC News, and Amie Parnes, senior correspondent for The Hill. Dec. 7, 2017 | Apple Podcasts | ESPN App | RSS 03 / Black Representation In North Carolina The debate over how districts should be drawn to ensure that minority voters are represented in Congress. FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. police- settlements. send a tweet. If we said there was a 70 percent chance a candidate would win a race, did that actually happen 70 percent of the time? Their recent data-driven post-mortem of the Latino vote in 2020 looks at which voters were likeliest to favor Trump and offers some hypotheses as to why. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. BOLIVAR The executive director of the Stark-Tuscarawas-Wayne Joint Solid Waste Management District is going to resign from the position and will then be rehired. We speak with journalist Sasha Issenberg about how that happened. Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. The Supreme Court is probably the most recognizable example, but its not the only one. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. Perry Bacon Jr. speaks with Galen Druke about his recent reporting on the kinds of ideas that have gained currency on the Left and how the Right has responded. Were still waiting to find out what the deal is, but this focus on slow moving objects in U.S. airspace was kicked off by a Chinese spy balloon that the U.S. shot down earlier this month. The crew, joined by ABC News White House Correspondent Karen Travers, discusses Trump's legacy, how he changed politics and what the lasting effects will be. Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy 240 views Its October and the surprises are rolling in. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? They also discuss how incumbents have been faring overall in this midterms primaries. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. Americans are spending more and more time alone, and more than a third reported experiencing serious loneliness" in 2021. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. The crew previews Californias primaries, which offer unique insight into the divides within the Democratic Party. Galen Druke speaks with POLITICO Europe's Cornelius Hirsch and Clea Caulcutt about the dynamics at play in the French presidential election. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. The team also discusses public opinion on gun laws after recent mass shootings in Texas, New York and California. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . MAJORITY 255 REP SEATS 240 225 225 240 255 DEM SEATS 84 in 100 84 in 100 Republicans win Republicans win 16 in 100 16 in 100 . New episodes release Tuesdays, Thursdays, and Sundays. And what does Floridas new voting law tell us about the GOPs efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the partys larger motivations? The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. david senak now. What role do Liz Cheney-type Republicans have to play in the future of the GOP (if any)? In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. Pollster Kristen Soltis Anderson joins the crew to discuss a new survey that categorizes voters into at least four ideological quadrants and tries to imagine how voters would align if America were a multi-party democracy. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. They consider how much preelection polling can tell us about the state of the country and what other sources we might rely on. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Senior writer and legal reporter Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux discusses how the Justices approached the question and what Americans think about abortion policy. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. The crew dives into four major investigations into former president Donald Trumps actions, the legal consequences he could be facing, and how the American public is reacting. Then the team debates if a surge of women registering to vote in June could be linked to the Supreme Courts recent abortion decision. fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts. NEW TOWN . Then the content will get automatically transcribed. heritage commons university of utah. RSS Loading. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. Democrat Melanie Stansbury won a special election in New Mexico's first congressional district by a 25-point margin last Tuesday, performing better than Democrats did in the district in 2020. geoffrey.skelley: After West Virginia, the most vulnerable Democratic seats are Ohio and Montana. Latino voters swung by eight percentage points toward President Trump in the last election, the largest swing of any racial or ethnic group in the electorate. FiveThirtyEight's COVID-19 podcast is laser-focused on evidence. The crew discusses how the other nine Republicans are faring in their bids to win reelection and debate whether CNNs new polling methodology is a good or bad use of polling. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. The crew discusses what high gas prices have meant for politics historically and outline the debates in Washington over how to bring those prices down. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Lastly, the team analyzes how the educational divide is shaping American politics. FiveThirtyEight Politics 3 days ago Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Why Valentina Shevchenko Is A Huge Favorite And Jon Jones Isn't At UFC 285,A pair of championships are on the line at UFC 285 in Las Vegas Saturday night, and both title bouts offer a study in contrasts. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. Why 10 Republicans Voted For Impeachment 300 views about 2 years ago 34:52 With one week left until Election Day, the crew analyzes some of the high-profile races and which issues Americans care about most as they enter the voting booth. In the immediate aftermath of the Jan. 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol, it appeared that Republican leaders might be ready to break ties with then-President Trump once and for all. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. FiveThirtyEight Filed under Podcast-19 Jun. FiveThirtyEight Politics 295 views 25 Feb 2021 Transcribe your podcast [00:00:06] Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. . From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. The cofounders of Equis Research -- a political data firm focused on Latino voters -- share their research on why that swing happened. In this show, Jody Avirgan, Nicole Hemmer and Kellie Carter Jackson (and guests) take one moment, big or small, from that day in U.S. political history and explore how it might inform our present -- all in about fifteen minutes.

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